Bayeswatch – The Pitfalls of Bayesian Reasoning – Chris Guest
Bayesian inference is a useful tool in solving challenging problems in many fields of uncertainty. However, inferential arguments presented with a Bayesian formalism should be subject to the same critical scrutiny that we give to informal arguments. After an introduction to Bayes’ theorem, some examples of its misuse in history and theology will be discussed.
Chris is a software developer with an academic background in Philosophy, Mathematics and Machine Learning. He is also President of the Australian Skeptics Victorian Branch. Chris is interested in applying critical reasoning to boundary problems in skepticism and is involved in consumer complaints and skeptical advocacy.
Talk was held at the Philosophy of Science Conference in Melbourne 2014
Video can be found here.
